Data looking at the upcoming September intake exposed a drop in both CAS issuances and acceptances across several crucial sending out markets, consisting of Pakistan and India. Other significant sending out nations such as Nigeria and China provide more of a combined image, with higher approvals when compared with the very same point in 2015 however fewer CAS issued.
The information was exposed in an Enroly webinar earlier this month, showing that in the year to July 2026, total CAS issuance is down simply under 13% year on year (likely to relocate to 28% down by the end of September’s recruitment cycle), and acceptances down 30% year on year.
However, Enroly’s director of development and collaborations Katie Layt explained that the true picture may change significantly by the end of the recruitment cycle.
And she likewise revealed that the “swing is big institution to institution”, with around 30% of Enroly’s dataset really tracking year-on-year boosts– if just this cohort was measured, she said, the annual metrics would be up 50%
“The image changes by objective group, kind of university, geopgraphic location– there are huge swings all over the place,” she stated.
Pakistan is the “greatest decrease we see for any market year on year”, down 55% on approvals and 67% down on CAS issuance. Another significant South Asian market, India, is aslo in decrease, with acceptances down practically 27% and CAS issiance down 40%.
The image modifications by mission group, kind of university, geopgraphic location– there are big swings all over the location
Katie Layt, Enroly
It follows a tricky time for the Pakistani market as several organizations took out of the country entirely, mentioning visa refusal concerns.
China, East Asia’s greatest sending market, is tracking up (12%) in regards to approvals however CAS issuance is down 15%
Nigeria is registering as the greatest volume market on the Enroly platform, Layt exposed. While approvals in Nigeria are up 26%, CAS issuance is down 13% “so a conversion obstacle between those two is emerging”
Significant year-on-year boosts in terms of approvals might be seen in the US market (up 6%), France (up 58%), Spain (up 19%), Kuwait (up 168%) and Iraq (up 71%).
< img width="1024 "height ="578"src ="// www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%201024%20578'%3E%3C/svg%3E "alt =""/ > Source: Enroly Meanwhile,16 markets throughout West and East Africa are showing growth. Ghana as the 2nd largest African sending nation is tracking 28 %up year on year although Layt observed that development has actually slowed as it was up 50% earlier in the recruitment cycle. She suggested this might reflect visa refusal pressures and risk mitigation as institutions come to grips with stricter compliance requirements.
Kenya is up 17%, with Zimbabwe also showing development, up 47%. In the MENA area, Egypt is up 28%, while countries based on a study visa break over asylum issues are on the decrease– Cameroon is down 88%, and Myanmar is down 86%.
In spite of visa refusal issues as tigher BCA requirements bite, Enroly data suggests that visa rejections are really tracking down year on year.
“At this early stage we’re sitting at a low number,” stated Layt, with visa refusals to July 3 2026 nearly 58% lower than they were at the very same point last year.
She kept in mind that this compared to a “actually high” refusal rate in January, however warned that it is “early days in the cycle, so these figures will move”.
Source: Enroly More information revealed more about how students are discovering their institutions of choice; straight or through an agent. According to Enroly data, nearly six in 10 students go through a representative, with the remainder finding a university direct.
And the data revealed that the sector is still controlled by a couple of huge representatives, with the leading 10 representatives collectively managing about 25% of trainee acceptances.
Source: Enroly < img src ="// www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20viewBox='0%200%200%200'%3E%3C/svg%3E"/ > < img src="https://thepienews.b-cdn.net/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/SRT-Fairs-_-Ad-600-x-500px-V2.jpg"/ >